Student notebook for on-chain markets

Learning Solana launches in public.

I am building a small system that watches new token launches, filters obvious risk, and tracks what happens after. The goal is not to call coins. The goal is to learn from the data.

Today signals mistakes changes

Latest result

Day 1: bad result, useful data.

First real session ran for 10.5 hours. The detector found movement, but execution friction ate the edge: small trade size, slippage, and delayed exits.

Runtime 10.5h
Trades 48
Closed 44
Net -0.249 SOL
Fixes shipped
  • Sell slippage widened from 3% to 15%
  • Price checks moved from polling to WebSocket triggers
  • AI veto prompt cleaned up for serial-launcher patterns
Early learning phase
Daily results posted
Public mistakes included
No calls notes only

Daily note format

Simple enough to post every day.

01 What the system caught

How many launches showed up, how many passed the filters, and what type of setup appeared.

02 What happened next

The best outcome, the worst outcome, and the part of the move that looked obvious only after the fact.

03 What I changed

One small adjustment to the system, the process, or the way I read the data tomorrow.

The system

A small detector, a daily notebook, and a lot of testing.

Detect

Watch new Solana token launches and keep the useful ones in view.

Filter

Remove obvious risk before pretending a chart means anything.

Track

Follow post-launch behavior and compare the signal to the outcome.

Learn

Post the results, keep the mistakes visible, and improve the next test.

Principles

Building in public without pretending to know everything.